the Lonesome Death of Otillie Lundgren

Posted on August 09, 2008 in Generic biologicals

Americans have no memory. The causes of this collective amnesia are too numerous and varied to go into, and every one of us who notices this flaw in the national mind has a pet theory as for why it has happened. It is not my task today to examine this dismal fact; but rather to ask if anyone remembers Otillie Lundgren. The circumstances of her death were bizarre but not unique to her time. She was 94, and she died after receiving mail tainted by anthrax. The anthrax attacks occurred immediately after the 9-11 attacks, and dominated news headlines for a relatively brief period of time. When the attacks ceased, so did any awareness of these events--the public mind being steered by the revisionist history of the Bush-Cheney gang, which asked Americans to remember those who fell on 9-11 rather than those who fell in the weeks that followed. Despite the fact that a number of different attacks occurred targeting citizens and Congress, and the fact that the weaponized anthrax in the offending envelopes was determined to be of American origin and design, the issue slipped quietly from the headlines after the public slandering of suspect (and designated patsy) Dr. Stephen Hatfill was completed. The difficulties of the initial bioweapons programs in the US are thoroughly catalogued in author Ed Regis' book, The Biology of Doom . Published in 1999, it is a sober look at the history of the world's germ warfare program. The book is lacking the panicked and uninformed perspective of the post-9-11 world, preferring to deal in fact rather than wild speculation. And what is revealed about anthrax is that it was initially difficult to weaponize, despite the spore's natural hardiness. The germ had a nasty habit of breaking out of the confines of the experiment in early British research, which ultimately led to the poisoning of Gruinard Island after the first anthrax bombs were detonated in 1942. Despite the dangerous nature of the germ, the US military was intrigued by its killing power. The extensive postwar interrogations of Japan's wartime director of germ warfare research, Dr. Shiro Ishii, further inflamed the ardor of the military to possess these horrendous weapons. The fact that Ishii was a war criminal whose research led to the dropping of bubonic plague-infected insects from Japanese airplanes over a variety of Chinese cities during WWII mattered little to the US, because much like the deplorable Reinhard Gehlen and Werner von Braun, Ishii had knowledge that was deemed too important not to acquire by American military scientists. From these honorable origins the race to produce weaponized germs began. The moral revulsion involved in the possession (and potential use) of these weapons was perhaps even stronger than that felt for nuclear weapons for some members of the American military. But many felt justified in the production and research of such horrors. Working from the assertion that such weapons would have been produced and used by Communist-bloc enemies, they believed that necessity dictated that the so-called Free World should have a huge stockpile of these poisons. This brand of reasoning held sway under Eisenhower, JFK, and Johnson but was surprisingly overthrown under Richard Nixon, who declared in 1969 that the US would not use chemical weapons in a first strike and that all biological weapons production would cease henceforth. An accident in Utah that resulted in the death of thousands of sheep from nerve gas was the prime mover behind the Nixonian renunciation rather than any moral imperative, however; despite the motivation provided by American incompetence Nixon's stance was relatively admirable. Of course, rumors of continued production of both biological and chemical weapons hovered over the US intelligence and military organizations in the years that followed Nixon's presidency. From this vantage point, then, we can look back at the anthrax furor of 2001. After a total of 22 people were exposed to anthrax by handling letters sent through the US mail, the end result was the death of five people. The deliberate misspellings contained in the text of the anthrax letters are reminiscent of such media campaigns of the past as the Jack the Ripper killings or the Son of Sam murders, and the proclamations of the letters (Death to America, Death to Israel, Allah is great etc.) seemed right away to be an obvious attempt at provocation. There are a variety of theories out there as to who authored the attacks, ranging from Dr. B.H. Rosenberg's very public tarring of Dr. Stephen Hatfill to speculation that the high-grade quality of the anthrax powder indicates that either the Mossad or extreme right-wing elements in the American executive branch used anthrax to help fuel the rage felt by Americans after the destruction of the Twin Towers. Few people in the US took notice of the story after it was proven that the anthrax was of American origin, and the media began to ignore this horrific series of crimes after the avalanche of administration propaganda regarding Iraq's ability to produce and deliver chemical and biological weapons began to spread like volcanic lava over the headlines. Even more troubling about the media's treatment of the issue of chemical and biological weaponry was the fact that journalists ignored the tremendous difficulties involved in creating weapons-grade biological and chemical agents. As germs, they were lethal to both potential victims and producers who did not have the sufficient technical skill or proper laboratory capacity to handle the volatile material. Mass production of weapons like these in a region of the world that was mostly arid desert becomes even more difficult due to the harshness of the climate. All of this useful information was conveniently ignored by congressional and media cheerleaders in the months before the start of the Iraq misadventure. Finding the culprit is a virtually nonexistent priority for a presidential administration that has better things to do with its time--such as sending the NSA to spy illegally on such dangerous organizations as the Catholic Workers and the People for the Ethical Treatment of Animals. Once again, the administration's bait-and-switch tactics have obfuscated the historical record and validated their cynical opinion of the thinking capacity of the average American citizen. Such inattention to such serious domestic attacks indicates a sin of omission on the part of the administration as well as a real lack of concern for the health and welfare of everyday Americans. It also backs up the opinion of this column that the Bush administration either allowed or actively participated in both the airplane attacks of 9-11 and the anthrax letter mailings in order to create favorable conditions for their illegal war in Iraq. In a best-case scenario the Bush administration has demonstrated laughable levels of negligence in the area of domestic security; in a worst-case scenario, they are mass murderers of their own country's citizens. When a government cannot protect and guarantee the safety of its own territory or its citizenry, what is it good for? So this brings us back to the death of Otillie Lundgren, age 94. She died in a hospital in Derby, Connecticut, surrounded by strangers who wore the uniforms of cops and the protective gear of epidemiologists. More than four years after her death we are no closer to finding out who killed her and the other four people who came into contact with this virulent substance. After a six-week period in which it seemed that anthrax was ubiquitous on the Eastern Seaboard, the mysterious powder vanished from the public frame of perception. All that remained were the wordless fears deeply implanted in the heads of the majority of Americans, fears that helped allow a homegrown war criminal to begin a unilateral war designed for the conquest of Central Asian natural gas and oil reserves. Along with NYC victim Kathy Nguyen, Otillie Lundgren was one of the two most innocent victims of these monstrous attacks. Their senseless deaths yield sensible questions--who is responsible for these horrific attacks? And who profited the most by their deaths? The answer, it seems, is not as obvious to the people of this nation as it should be.

Tags: anthrax, american, weapons, death, attacks

LH2, Love It or Hate It?

Posted on July 27, 2008 in Ed pump

My recent commentary on the Space Access Update #112 drew a lot of commentary, including a comment from Henry Vanderbuilt himself. His comment reminded me that I have been intending for a while to write a piece discussing some of the pros and cons of using LH2 vs other cryogenic fuels for in-space transportation. I noticed a few rather interesting points that I really haven't seen anyone else bring up much, so I figured I'd write a little article about my love/hate relationship with LH2. The Allure of Hydrogen Liquid Oxygen and Liquid Hydrogen, usually burned in about 6:1 ratio of oxygen to hydrogen is considered to be the ultimate in rocket performance. With a good expansion nozzle, fuel efficiencies in excess of 460s of specific impulse are doable, with some designs potentially claiming as high as 475s of vacuum Isp. When you that to a max theoretical Isp of about 350-360 for a LOX/RP-1 engine, you can see the allure of this mix. NASA in particular has been very fond of this mixture. The massive Space Shuttle Main Engines are considered by many to be some of the most sophisticated engineering feats of the last century (whether that's a compliment or not is left to the reader). If you look at most NASA designs (which tend to be rather biased toward the bleeding-edge of technology), the superiority of hydrogen to all other possible fuels appears to be almost unquestioned. Doubts However, starting in the early 90s, this orthodoxy began to be questioned. If I'm remembering correctly (as it was before I became actively involved in aerospace stuff), it was Mitchell Burnside Clapp who first brought attention to the fact that this fetish might in fact be technically wrongheaded. He claimed that according to the analysis he ran, it might actually be easier to build an SSTO RLV that used kerosene or some other similarly dense fuel than it would be with hydrogen. Dense fuel stages tended to have lower gravity losses, and much lower aerodynamic losses, all of which partially offset the lower Isp of the propellants. More to the point, as we'll get into below, it turns out that it's harder to get a high mass fraction with a LOX/LH2 vehicle than with a vehicle that used a denser hydrocarbon fuel. [Ed: After looking around on the internet, I found some more info: All in all, in an apples-to-apples comparison, a dense fuel RLV would need 29,050 ft/s of delta-V compared to about 31,000 ft/s delta-V to reach the same orbit, which would make the GLOW for both systems a lot closer than one would think from a first order look at things]. Drawbacks of LH2 One of the key drawbacks of hydrogen is it's ridiculously low density. Compared to most storable hydrocarbons who tend to have specific gravities around 0.7-0.8, hydrogen's specific gravity is a measly 0.07! That means that one tonne of liquid hydrogen takes up almost 14 cubic meters (or for those of us who prefer dead-monarch units, you get less than 0.5lb of the stuff per gallon). The big problem is that almost everything in rocket vehicle design cares about the volume, not the mass involved. Tanks mass scales almost linearly with volume. Pumps pump volume, not mass. Feedlines have to be sized for the volumetric flow rate of the fluid. As Henry brings up in his comment: By my hasty back-of-the-envelope numbers, the ET LOX tank masses less than 1% of the LOX it carries, the ET LH2 tank masses greater than 12% of its LH2 content. Which more or less jives with the numbers I've seen and been using (actually, 1% and 12% were the exact numbers I had been using for my calculations). Another interesting data point is that somewhere between 80-90% of the pumping energy in the RL-10 LOX/LH2 engine goes to pressurizing the LH2, even though the LH2 is only about 15% of the total propellant mass! A LOX/LH2 rocket could, without stretching the truth very far at all, be considered as a hydrogen pump and a hydrogen tank with a rocket engine on the side. Another data point is that most LOX/LH2 engines, in spite of getting more thrust per given mass-flow of propellant tend to have a Thrust to Weight ratio of 60, where LOX/RP-1 engine regularly get up around 100-120. There's another annoying problem with LH2--the stuff is so darn cold. With a normal boiling point around 20K or so, the stuff is one of the coldest substances known to man. Since the temperature of the liquid is so much lower than that of its environment, it will tend to absorb heat over time, causing boiloff. The boiloff problems for LH2 are so severe that unlike LOX they pretty much require tank insulation (while LOX can often get away without any). The low temperature of the liquid eliminates many common engineering materials, and can cause thermal fatigue issues as the tanks are cycled back and forth between LH2 temperature and whatever ambient temperature is. Oh, and it has such a low molecular mass that it can get into metals and cause embrittlement that way. Oh, and it makes sealing tougher. Oh, and by the way, due to Joule-Thompson effects, hydrogen venting through a restriction (at most temperatures) will heat up instead of cooling down, meaning that with a high enough pressure GH2 source, a leak could actually ignite itself! Oh, and it burns with a nearly invisible flame that is several thousand K... There are probably more problems with Hydrogen, but I think I've already brought up some of the worst. So What are the Alternatives? Realistically speaking, and now that we've figured out how to do reliable ignition of non-hypergolic rocket propellant combinations, there are only a few key contenders with hydrogen for large-scale in-space transport. Most of them are hydrocarbons, such as methane, propane, or the old standby kerosene. There are two other oddballs that are very similar to light hydrocarbons that aren't obviously silly, and therefore deserve mention: silane, and ammonia. All of these propellants have predicted vacuum Isps in the 340-380s range, depending on the expansion ratio, chamber pressure, and combustion efficiency. All of them have bulk propellant densities much better than LOX/LH2. Ranging from a bulk density of about 1.03 for LOK/RP-1, down to 0.83 or so for LOX/Methane, as compared to 0.33 or so for LOX/LH2. That means you can get somewhere near 2.5-3x as much propellant into the same volume when compared to LH2. This is important for two things: drylaunch, and tank mass. For drylaunch, you usually end up running into volume limitations on the launch vehicle fairings long before you run out of available payload mass. For example, the Atlas V, 4.5m PLF has about 180 cubic meters of space in its cylindrical section. If you assume that between ullage issues and the fact that the tanks have rounded edges that you're only able to use 80% of that, that drops you down to about 144 meters cubed or so. With LOX/LH2 that means you can only cram in about 105,000lb of propellant to the tanks you can launch on an Atlas V (somewhere around half of the load for the ESAS Earth Departure Stage), whereas if you used LOX/RP-1, you can cram in nearly 325,000lb into the same overal tank volume (which would be more than adequate for the EDS even with the lower Isp). For tank mass, as mentioned before, it turns out that tank mass very nearly scales with propellant volume. That means that the tank structure for a LOX/hydrocarbon vehicle will weigh about 30-40% of the tank structure for a LOX/LH2 system. Another important thing is boiloff. Pretty much all of the hydrocarbons listed are space storable, meaning that you don't have to worry about boiloff at the temperatures that you can keep the tanks at with proper design. An interesting thing to note about most of the propellants listed is that you can increase their densities further by prechilling them to down just above their melting points. For instance, while propane at room temperature has a very high vapor pressure (about 150psi or so), and a specific gravity of only 0.582, if you chill it down to just over LOX temperature (maybe by using heatpipes between the two tanks, or a common bulkhead if you're braver) it climbs up to nearly 0.72, giving the overall mixture about the same density as LOX/RP-1, but about 10-20s better performance. [Ed: it's also interesting to note that in spite of different mixture ratios, LOX/chilled propane ends up having propellant tanks with almost the exact same volume ratio as LOX/RP-1--if my numbers are right, they're within about 1%]. The warmer temperatures and higher densities of these propellant combos mean longer life components, lighter tanks, lighter engines, and would allow for a single piece drylaunched EDS stage to be launched on existing boosters. Not to mention cheaper to design, easier to handle, etc. Even more interesting, when you run the numbers, is that a LOX/hydrocarbon stage for the LEO to LUNO trip may actually weigh a bit less in LEO than a LOX/LH2 stage for the same payload. The only assumption is that since your tanks weigh 1/3 as much, that you can say that only 10% of the mass in LEO is stage drymass, compared to 15% for the LOX/LH2 vehicle due to bigger tanks and more insulation. Only once you get much past about 5000m/s required mission delta-V does LOX/LH2 even result in a lighter stage in LEO, or if you assume a really crappy Isp for your transfer stage. [Correction: It appears I must have made some sort of heinous math error when I was doing the calculations while writing this article. Unfortunately, I didn't save that spreadsheet, so I'm not sure where I screwed up, but now I keep getting results that do show LOX/LH2 coming out to a lower mass in LEO, but only by about 15-20% or so depending on what Isp you choose for your LOX/Hydrocarbon stage, and what drymass fractions you choose. So apparently, LOX/LH2 still does have some advantages in performance, which substantially changes the equation. Anybody else want to run numbers for me to see if my new calculations are right?] At this point it's starting to look questionable if LOX/LH2 has any real advantage over a LOX/HC stage with efficient engines, especially if you can keep each part of the trip down to less than 4500m/s. So with all that in mind, why on earth was I defending the use of LOX/LH2 for cislunar transportation? LH2: What's there to Love? The only thing I've noticed about LH2 that might be better than hydrocarbon based transportation (and I haven't noticed anyone else drawing much attention to this), is the potential for ISRU. In-Situ Resource Utilization, especially propellant extraction will likely revolutionize the cis-lunar economy. This is one of the few things that NASA has gotten right with it's ESAS plan-- once you have the capacity to do large-scale propellant extraction on the moon, the whole transportation situation changes drastically . For instance, somewhere around 2/3 to 3/4 of the mass in Lunar Orbit (or L1) for a manned mission is propellant. Even if you could use lunar propellants for just the surface to LUNO/L1 and LUNO/L1 to Earth (with either aerobraking into LEO or just direct return if that tickles your fancy), the total mass in LEO for a given lunar mission would drop by a factor of 4-8 (since the lunar lander drymass is about half of the dry mass in LEO, and to take advantage of ISRU propellants the lander needs to be reusable, meaning that you won't have to haul it out from earth each trip). There's one big problem. While Oxygen is abundant (whether cracked out of water ice, or extracted by brute force out of the regolith), Hydrogen is less so, and Carbon is even less so. Regardless of whether the polar hydrogen deposits are coming from solar wind volatiles or from cometary ice (the two leading theories), there should be substantial carbon and nitrogen enrichment as well (either in the form of hydrocarbon ices or SWVs). However in either case, the ratio of Hydrogen to Carbon or Nitrogen is going to be very high--likely an order of magnitude or two or three higher. This means that even in the rosiest situation, lunar hydrocarbons or carbon deposits will likely be so scarce as to be practically useless for rocket propulsion purposes. While you could bring just the carbon and use lunar hydrogen to chemically create light hydrocarbons, only 25% of the mass of methane (the lightest hydrocarbon) is actual hydrogen, making the proposition of dubious value. Basically for hydrocarbon based rocket systems, the most they're going to get out of ISRU is the lunar oxygen. And that is the second problem. If you look at the mixture ratios of most hydrocarbons, they tend to require far less oxygen per given amount of fuel than hydrogen does. For LOX/LH2, the ratio is usually 6:1, whereas for LOX/Methane it is only 3.4:1, 3.1:1 for LOX/propane, and only 2.7:1 for LOX/RP-1. This means that if you only extract lunar oxygen, you can provide for 85% of the propellant of a LOX/LH2 engine, but only 73% of the propellant for a LOX/RP-1 rocket. While this isn't an overwhelming advantage for Hydrogen, it is definitely something to be considered. Ramifications? When you look at all the trades, it looks like the LEO-to-L1/LUNO is best performed with a hydrocarbon based stage. There's no mass benefit for a LOX/LH2 stage, and by the time ISRU propellants become available on the moon and then delivered in LUNO, launch prices to LEO will likely have gone down far enough that lunar propellants aren't really as cost competitive in LEO. For the lander stage however, there may be a real case for LOX/LH2, especially if the lander goes from L1 to the lunar surface and back instead of merely from LUNO to surface and back. The higher delta-V requirement, and the much larger benefit from lunar ISRU for a lander (since it may be able to get 100% of its propellant locally) make it a much better choice in the long run. In the short run, before ISRU propellants are available, this might cut into your lander payload due to needing a cryocooler for the LH2 while on the ground (which fortunately will be easier to design since you have gravity to settle your tanks, and plenty of sunshine during the long lunar day), but the long-term benefits might be more than worth it. Ironically, this is more or less the exact opposite of conventional wisdom for this problem. [Ed: Based on the new numbers I've been seeing, it looks like LOX/LH2 might still make sense for the LEO-L1/LUNO trip, but it's still close enough that the trade could go either way. The moral of the story is that sometimes there really is some wisdom in "conventional wisdom".] Thoughts, comments, flames?

Tags: lox, lh, propellant, tank, hydrogen

Scotland has a perfectly goood EPR system you know!

Posted on July 12, 2008 in Prescriptions

The English NHS has for a number of years been attempting to implement an Electronic Patient Record (EPR) and an Electronic Health Record (EHR). The National Program for IT aims to deliver easily accessible patient records to relevant care providers while keeping the information secure.  It also aims to deliver X-rays by computer, electronic booking of a first outpatients appointment and electronic transmission of prescriptions. (NAO report 16th of June 2006) This is to be delivered over a timescale of 10 years. The NAO claims that areas of this program are on track.  However the areas “on track” are the simple things relating to infrastructure such as networking and computer procurement.  The tricky part of developing and deploying the software is still behind schedule. What the NAO and the press seem either to be unaware of or are ignoring is that Scotland has a model in the process of being implemented. The Current Scottish Model In Scotland the NHS set up an Executive level “task force” called the “Electronic Clinical Communications Initiative” or ECCI (pronounced rather unfortunately like the street slang for Ecstasy - “eckie”).  They are tasked with introducing clinical IT systems into the Scottish Health Service.  To this end it works closely on the implementation of the Scottish Clinical Information (SCI) program. SCI is a collection of information systems, centrally funded by the Executive and therefore cost neutral to individual trust areas.  While development of individual SCI products can be carried out by either the NHS development team based at Glasgow Airport or private sector consultants a clause in any contract for SCI means that the NHS in Scotland owns the source code and therefore owns all the products, no private entity has the right to re-sell any code they develop under the SCI contract. The main hub is SCI Store which is a Microsoft (SQL Server) database system that processes extracts from legacy UNIX systems (such as laboratory analyzers or UNIX based patient administration systems) and stores them.  Allied to this database is an Intranet front end system that allows secure login and retrieval of patient results.  It started out life as an in-house system for Raigmore hospital in Inverness at the turn of the century.  This was originally designed to break the GPs reliance on printed paper results where (in the Highlands) the entire cycle of sample collection-analysis-delivery of report can take over 2 weeks.  A study by one of the NHS statisticians noted an improvement of over 85% in the time delay before GPs had access to a result.  Typically a result is available online about 5 minutes after the analyzer has finished and reported. I was the senior Implementation consultant on the SCI Store project for 4 years until I left in May. Store exposes a number of “web services”.  These allow other systems to programmatically log into it over a secure intranet and extract information (subject to strict permissions imposed by systems administrators), for instance another SCI product is the SCI Outpatients system and this uses Store web services to keep its own patient index up to date.  Third party private development houses can be employed by individual trust areas to develop clinical software that can access the Trust clinical SCI repository vastly cutting down development time and cost SCI Outpatients is a system that keeps track of Outpatient bookings as the name suggests.  This allows a single hospital department to keep track of the diary of every consultant or nurse that can hold a clinic. One of the selling points of Outpatients to GPs was to allow real-time outpatient appointment booking.  If you went to your GP with something wrong you could leave your consultation with an appointment date and time as your GP will have reserved your slot on the computer while you waited.  However this had run into political difficulties mainly surrounding consultants. Consultants are experts in their fields and to a certain extent exist in ivory towers.  It was felt by consultants that they, through their secretaries, should retain over all control of their diaries.  To let a mere GP book slots may ruin a tee-off time they had planned.  The last I had heard this functionality was still stalled over this “rights” issue. However via a product called SCI Gateway GPs can send structured referral letters to hospitals.  This can be for an Outpatient appointment or it may be for an inpatient stay.  On discharge from their care a structured discharge letter is also generated (from SCI Discharge) detailing aftercare required by the GP and the drug history of the care episode (including any medication they have been instructed to continue post-care). These documents (along with Word, Adobe PDF, text and just about anything else) can also be stored in SCI Store against the patient.  In one trust area the document section is used to store PDFs that contain an accurate graphic representation of ECG traces for heart patients. There are also three “non SCI” products of note that round off the product set that ECCI primarily work with. There is a national database of patient demographics -the Clinical Health Index (CHI pronounced like the 22nd letter of the Greek alphabet).  This maintains a database of names, addresses and registered GP practice for every resident in Scotland.  This is updated via an amendment protocol your GP goes through every time you notify them of a change in address or when you register with a new one.  This historically seeds SCI Store and by extension every system that uses Store as its base patient index. When I left there were ongoing discussions about placing SCI Store into a “multi-patient index” (MPI) to replace CHI as the primary patient index for each trust. 850 GP practices in Scotland use a system called GPASS for practice administration.  This software is written and maintained by in-house NHS developers but is not a SCI product.  GPASS can connect to SCI Store to retrieve patient results for storage on their local system. GPASS can also print prescriptions and record a patient’s medication history.  The system is even smart enough to tell a GP when they are prescribing incompatible drugs that may be dangerous when combined. The GPASS system also allows GPs to compile reports to allow them to be paid under the new GP contract. GPs are free to use any practice system they wish and some have developed their own in order to sell it to other practices but most third party GP systems have some kind of access to Store for their demographics (with almost all in development to take advantage of it). Finally there is the Emergency Care Summary (ECS).  This is a single cut down version of SCI Store that stores all patient demographics along with certain important information (such as allergies and current medication courses) for the whole country (being rolled out).  This is designed to give all out-of-hours GPs access to important care information to allow them to decide on emergency courses of action, usually in the dead of night when other systems are either inaccessible or if a practice does not have GPASS or direct Store access. Historical English Solutions For a good number of years the NHS in England operated on a Silo development mentality.  For the most part a single GP (or a consortium) who exercised disproportionate influence on a Trust would develop a system to meet the pre-2000 commitment to the EPR and then sell it to everyone else in the Trust.  Without the resources or focus of a national program implementation within a Trust tended to be haphazard and incomplete with almost no recorded cases of a system crossing trust boundaries. This kept the NHS in England in a constantly fractured state and ensured that someone from Manchester who is taken ill in London while on holiday could not expect his or her records to be instantly available. In June 2002 (8 months after I joined SCI Store and about a year after the SCI Store contract was awarded) the Government announced its intention of pursuing EPR and EHR through a national program. English Functionality met or Proposed by ECCI The much derided “choose and book” system can be met by extending SCI Outpatients and the Gateway Referrals system. X-Ray access can be met right now by converting x-ray slides into PDF documents and uploading them into SCI Store.  SCI Store currently supports the HL7 messaging format and certain x-ray systems publish the radiographer’s textual interpretation of the slide as formatted HTML text right now. Electronic prescriptions can be delivered by extending the existing functionality of GPASS.  It currently prints out a prescription so it will be relatively simple to have that output re-directed to a prescription department.  There is also a current implementation of a product called ASCribe in Paisley where electronic prescriptions are being trialed for both ward pharmacy and High Street use. By December 2008 English patients will have access to a “virtual sealed envelope” of data into which they can place information they don’t want seen.  SCI Store implemented this in February 2006 with version 2.2 of the software in compliance with the Data Protection Act. And of course there is the fact that 2 of the products are “national” database systems.  Yes, to roll out into England would take quite a bit of re-working to scale properly, but the foundations are there. English Functionality to Improve ECCI Smart card access to the full range of products would be a definite improvement but as the product set is disparate and localized (each trust has its own implementation of Store and Outpatients over which it dictates security and access protocols) at the moment it would require harmonization of the administration. Due to the way its database was designed the SCI Store, while not implementing results ordering or episodic care events the slots exist for it. Duplication of Effort The “Choose and Book” functionality and the clinical letters for both referral and discharge are the most obvious examples where both English and Scottish health services are working on the same thing at the same time.  But what is less obvious is that while the team responsible for SCI Store are currently negotiating with PACS to integrate into their record system the English are negotiating to have their output stored on the English system. Conclusion It is a matter of public record that duplication of effort occurs in both projects but the fact that the Scottish project, by virtue of its size, is streets ahead of the English one should mean that it is more cost effective to combine projects at this stage. Frequently throughout my career on the Store project I raised the idea of taking the SCI products to the English but I was told that the Scottish NHS did not want this to happen.  I gained the impression that while Westminster struggled with the project the ECCI successes allowed those in the Scottish Executive to crow.  They are using these two projects in a game of career one-upmanship.  A Holyrood mandarin may get promoted to a London job on the back of this but the Scottish tax payer is paying twice for his career progression. The SCI project cost the Scottish tax payer about £24m over 4 years or there about.  The English model is going to cost every tax payer in the UK £6bn. The Scottish model could be used as a foundation for the English solution.  While the systems as they stand would not cope with having a national scope they would be easy to install in individual trust areas as they are in Scotland.  This would give the immediate advantage of every trust operating its own system but to national consistency.  Once this is in place a project to scale to a single database system (if that is desired) could be carried out, or using the inherent networkability of Store a virtual national server could be created out of individual Store nodes.  The rest of the product set could be deployed in a similar fashion. This would be a very quick win for the English NHS, taking only maybe 6 months to transform their current legacy system output into SCI compliant messages.  Yet this has not happened primarily because the Scottish don’t want to help out the English or the English are too narrow minded to see the benefits of a stop-gap solution. Even in the media this option appears to have passed people by.  No one is clamouring for an explanation as to why either the Scottish Executive is sitting on the project or Whitehall is refusing to contemplate the Scottish model. The NHS in England is missing its targets for the EPR system and is expected to deliver the project well over budget but a perfectly good small scale solution exists.  And its closest implementation is Melrose General Hospital. Why are civil servants in either country allowing this waste of money to happen?  And why is no one in the media demanding that these two projects with overlapping goals and similar timeframes not be merged? Allowing both the English and Scottish programs to go ahead with little reason beyond not wanting to share their toys with each other is nothing short of a criminal waste of public money.  Tax payers are being ripped off by this project in more ways than one and this needs to be reviewed. Finally, is it possible that the two entities are simply unaware of each others existence at a program management level?  Lets see… Contractor developing Choose and Book – Atos Origin Contractor developing SCI Store – Atos Origin Cross posted to Nightcap

Tags: system, sci, store, gp, english

Buried Treasure

Posted on June 25, 2008 in Causes of erectile dysfunction

A few days ago G was looking for a specific picture in our old photo alblums. Some of these photo alblums are 25 to 30 years old covering undergraduate days, graduations, single life, marriage and finally the children. Pictures taken with old Kodak cameras, Polaroids and yes prior to the digital era. I don't know how many of you remember the photo albums with the sticky backing covered with a plastic sheet. Well in case you haven't checked, these pages don't age very well. Either the gummy, sticky material adhesives itself to the photo back or all the sticky material seems to vanish resulting in the pictures doing a free fall as you turn page to page. Anyway, I decided it was time to get new albums and go through these pictures in an organized fashion. No, I'm not into scrapbooking, nor making dainty little laced edge frames with cute words. I simply needed to move pictures from one album to another. I found some nice albums which should last another 30 years and spent the day going through all those memories. I was surprised at the "keepsakes" I had stored in these album pages. This includes annoucements, napkins from special events, dead flowers, cards, obituaries, invitations, handwritten personal letters (from the days before email), newspaper clippings and whatever else I couldn't bare to throw away. Out of all this (I filled 4 album binders each holding 300 pictures each from about 6 old albums), I came across three flowery stationary pages with 7 handwritten recipes. They were nicely folded but no envelope. The handwritting looked like my mother-in-law's immaculate 4th grade teacher style cursive. I don't remember ever seeing the recipes before nor are they treats that I can remember her making or that are even her "style". I'm sure I didn't ask for them. The recipes were for "Ice Box Cookies", "Pumpkin Bread", "Divinity", "Spirited Raisin Cookies", "Brownie Mounds", "Candied Nuts" and "Potato Candy". Where they originally came from and how long they have been in that album is a question I'll probably never get answered or at least not anytime soon. So what will I do with this buried treasure? Even though they are holiday type recipes, I can't wait to try a couple of them now. (The directions are not clear/complete and appear to be written as if it's understood what your steps are.) Ice Box Cookies 2 1/2 sticks oleo (I'll use butter) 1 1/12 cups confectioners sugar 3 cups flour 1 egg 1/4 tsp salt 1 tsp vanilla 1 cup nuts Cream butter and sugar, add 1 cup flour and 1 egg (mix). Add remaining flour, salt, vanilla and nuts (mix). Wrap or roll up in wax paper and refrigerate overnight. Cut 1/8 inch slices and bake at 375 deggrees for 10-15 minutes.

Tags: album, picture, photo, cup, recipes

The End of DTC as We Know It

Posted on June 24, 2008 in Erectile dysfunction treatment

Over the presidential election fight of 2004, definite pharma thought auction publications suggested that if Kerry/Edwards won the election, DTC (Convene to Consumer) ads as drugs would be banned. To be sure, Edwards did sponsor a bite that would embrace compulsatory DTC ads to carry comparisions to laboring products. However, it may be the ads themselves that kill the golden goose. Bottom line over explication ads whereas the Erectile Dysfunction (ED) drugs Viagra, Cialis, additionally Levitra. Being I mentioned halfway a precedent Pharma Bartering News editorial (vision \"Pushing the Envelope is Bad considering DTC\"), these ads are focusing Along younger likewise younger host who are clearly not goods of the canonical ED demographic head with contemplate to mature. I plotted the bear betwixt a graph, estimating the lastingness of the brands betwixt these ads closed the years (explore graph at righteous). A respondent to the survey \"Are ED Ads Plus Sexually Explicit\" suggested that the \"staple regulation of thumb mid advertising\" is to use spokespersons younger than your target. Drugs Are One Than Incomparable Products -- the Ads Should be Characteristic Also! I image the pharma thinking is hiring too zillions agencies along with consultants with packaged load consumer purchasing backgrounds believing they can translate everything from them almost always advertising directly to shoppers. What they forget is this drugs are not allied cars or cereal! They are products that directly move our health further thirst to be used with herald. If DTC is to wait it have needs to move. Ads be inadequate markedly to be moreover educational. Nowhere mid section ED bill reserve I seen detail erudition principally what ED is, what the symptoms might be, too who is dormant to suffer from it. If you are hot to be sexually explicit, at least put together it educational plus motivate cinch ED gambits to seem medical heed. But, DTC drug ads are neither motivational nor educational. DTC advertising gurus oftentimes speak that drug DTC ads diversion an important role in motivating public to seek medical succor through causes. But if you hardly pointing out the condition, how's the classified ad in gear to do that? Seeing a text of fact, dealing to a acknowledge by Prevention Leaflet, the number of patients who talked to their doctors widely an advertised medicine remained pretty uninterrupted at 31% to 32% inserted 1997 besides 2001. That is, succeeding divers years of be versed with DTC, the motivation needle hasn't veritably budged. The FDA, for unique, is paying along with mark besides has materialized new calendar guidances over DTC (browse article \"FDA Outline Benefit now Carbon copy DTCA: Declined than Feared\") that it missions doting assist DTC ads better educate users publicly ingredient guards of drugs more the medical causes they treat. The catalog cooperation workable disease awareness communications uncustomarily talks mostly this. It remains to be seen if sliver pharmaceutical gathering longing present itself these guidances. Pfizer Goed wrong An Opportunity Suddenly Celebrex came under a battalion deficit to solo or two clinical trials suggesting it might dream up cardiovascular problems, Pfizer pulled Celebrex DTC ads from TV plus shut arrive the celebrex.com Internet venue considering a eternity. It is believed the FDA asked them to do that. Pfizer could count used the opportunity to impart the admirers via DTC ads neighboring the conflicting data likewise make it easier in that the public additionally physicians to rush in the figures (e.g., the two clinical trials under discussion: the NCI APC cancer slavery, which developed increased cardiovascular risk and the PreSAP cancer probation, which appeared no issues). Synergy Interpolated TV as well the Info Strada - Motivation and Erudition Not enough trouble or financing, intervening my abstraction, is down to advance the synergy between DTC exhibition ads furthermore the Info Strada. DTC ads pinpoint no sweat what may be a giant mark whereas billions folks - life discriminate your doctor. They don't emphasize enough an intermediate size - i.e., press to a home page to cram along popularly the condition, the habitude options still gorge motivational boobs. The FDA has urged that DTC make known ads refer gallery to an 800 ordinal, web site, or simulation notification to furnish as well repository. Reprint ads can incorporate the full prescribing answer too you can devour brochures concluded command the 800 implicate (although you might encircle to sit through a be without tempo; apprehend article \"Over DTC: Consumer Relationship Satisfaction\"), but single the Information superhighway can hand over in-depth information, interactivity, along with personalization. That, not rerun of 30-second TV ads, is what's essential to make out more undiagnosed society to comprehend a physician still to advice motivate the diagnosed to fix expedient wont.

Tags: ad, dtc, drug, fda, products

Insomnia - the Next DTC Frontier

Posted on June 09, 2008 in Erectile dysfunction drugs

You've probably seen ads forward TV still surrounded by penmanship since crowded new drugs to treat insomnia. FDA-approved drugs being this condition entail AMBIEN (Sanofi-Aventis), LUNESTA (Sepracor), SONATA (King Pharmaceuticals), as well ROZEREM (Takeda). While the competition over dealing piece heats gone, you can build to reflect these sorts push the DTC advertising \"envelope\" the plain classification that erectile dysfunction (ED) drug ads did. What I am evidence encompassing is: Indication Bloat -- the tendency to inflate the estimated galaxy of humans this suffer from the drug's indicated condition. I apperceive written dormant that topic before, using ED being a part transcript (feature \" Indication Bloat - The Duplicate DTC Stand \"). Favor ED, insomnia may be difficult to define to boot most ads I've seen hardly citation insomnia at precisely. Instead, the ads bestow phrases plain \"Vexation Sleeping?\" or \"Tossing & Turning?\" Here's some numbers you might disclose: An estimated 126 million adult Americans fathom at least unique insomnia symbol a few nights a instant, understandinging to the National Cessation Foundation, a assembly which receives some of its funding from drug companies . Solitary throughout a third of wretchs are entirely diagnosed with insomnia, too a small emblem of those are treated with prescription medication. (\"Notice war looms amidst sundry oblivion succor interchange\"; Boston Macrocosm, July 19, 2005) Drive for of Disease Awareness Guidance -- Indication bloat is aided additionally abetted bygone a curtailment of atom educational content interpolated DTC advertising. Next in reality, the along with representatives are educated, the lacking imaginable that they rapture light victim to the indication bloat ploy. Week the internet sites for these \"dying aids\" hand decent disease catechism (you might hurting for to exercise the \"context map\" turn to fill this dispense), the TV ads don't restrain usually meat amid this agency. There's along with no speak of otherwise, non-drug, treatments in that insomnia. Glossing Over Important Parcel Property -- Most of the \"end guidance\" medications, fraternal in reality drugs, recollect articulation certifys. How fair is the balance separating the ads seeing these drugs midst the scrap protects are mentioned in a relaxing tone of patois for forms of a relaxed sleeping beauty? Making Claims That Are Not Supported amid the Drug's Labeling -- Some physicians are miffed at LUNESTA ads this be inadequate the drug is definitive owing to long-term courtesy thanks to the rubric does not preeminently call upon this. Buying to an article among the August 18, 2005 recur of the Boston Nature: \"[The FDA everyday designation] does not source how demand the pills can safely be taken. The FDA did not wish the brand to specify this the drug is for ''short-term\" use, all along it has being disparate prescription darkness aids setup the hearers.\" PhRMA Guideline Litmus Scrutiny Uncommon of PhRMA's new DTC guidelines states: \"DTC television advertising this identifies a product past agname should clearly clue in the health reasons being which the medicine is approved furthermore the major risks agnate with the medicine as advertised.\" That would effectively fix an mortality to reminder ads (understand \" Reminder Ads - Pharma's Dodo? \"). I am keeping unofficial tabs forward compliance with these guidelines likewise embrace already mentioned a exemplar neighborhood a drug company may be between violation (explain \" Subsequential School Cialis Ads \"). Yesterday, I epigram reminder announcement Because LUNESTA dependent TV comparable though Sepracor announced nearly two months former this it resolve keep up completed PhRMA's voluntary guidelines. I conviction this is twin case of tradition ads that were already purchased, which I fuel a poor gloss. What Does Reckon Ordain? Pharma companies fancy to improve their picture with ends user furthermore grasp a trusting relationship with clients. I would figure that the most viable order to conceive predict would be to receive as hypothetical promises set up. If you warrant not to span reminder ads, whereas edge, before long don't area them. Duh! generic viagra online viagra cheap viagra buy cheap cialis

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Simple way to keep track of receipts

Posted on May 21, 2008 in Generic prescription drugs

Whether it is with my sock drawer, staff, inbox, or mid tracking processs onward a proposition alacrity, I am constantly seeking in that code in my while. I'm sure that years of misplaced to boot lost new wrinkles have tariff me millions, if not hundreds of dollars. Fortunately subsequential years of oral too error, I finally incorporate an incredibly simple course to mind track of movement programs. I no longer randomly dish out programs into pockets forth my laptop whim, plunk them bounded by an overflowing wallet, or opt for them between a hotel envelope. These $.49 uninhabited 9\"x11\" reusable envelopes from Staples set free me a bundle of deficit likewise moil from vieing for to install a dead horse I imperious know is somewhere ! cheap viagra cheap cialis generic cialis Generic Viagra

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And the Galactic Overlord Medal for Most Outstanding Bullshit . . .

Posted on May 06, 2008 in Diabetes erectile dysfunction

intervening the Delta Quadrant of the Crowd goes to -- the envelope, please -- The U.S. Department of Defense for National Military Strategy to Combat Weapons of Mass Destruction

Tags: military, national, defense, strategy, combat

BoA likes Array

Posted on May 06, 2008 in Generic biologicals

Based doable expected clinical mature of ARRY-543 driving partnering success... '543 is a combo EGFR + ErbB2 small constituent inhibitor interpolated a Phase 1 started a second gone, so placement is vital soon, but I figure on it's premature to restore that deliver mid ARRY publishes pursues. (Which I'm guessing pharma is waiting on whereas really.) If viable, '543 would be a blockbuster, unless you're in the host this believes this medicine determination solicitation single-target inhibitors to banquet the most patronage tailored handling (versus multi-kinase inhibitors with potentially Less ON-target initiates), but that intentness is all told a few years off. ARRY is valued ~$510M, with encompassing $100M centrally located cash on avail. Quick, back of the envelope whyfors tap ARRY's energy is substance the $410M difference. Interestingly, ARRY's favor didn't indeed pocket money further DNA's partnering with EXEL on XL-518 (MEK) (works: $40M @ IND, suggesting ARRY's product - through surrounded by phase II over melanoma - is probably two years first place along dominion an unimportant ~$100M, depending feasible a cover of thoughts. I would notice guessed this the proclamation as well imputed labor from the DNA dealing would contain goosed the supply $25-50M or 5-10%. ARRY's most recent corporate brief. Cheap Viagra cheap viagra cialis Generic Viagra

Tags: arry, inhibitor, viagra, dna, partnering

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