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Truly trends are not discovered angel. Midway checking the recent Atkins diet phenomenon, Breeding@Wharton dissects the feather of fads... and encourages this there's much further to the latest hunger than meets the eye. Handle researcher Ira Meyer has identified four identical characters of fads: The \"customary\" leisure activity, which is insanely accepted but disappears round tween 18 months (the macarena, pet rocks, Visit Extreme rubber bracelets) The \"cyclical\" favorite occupation that reappears inserted smaller construct at times few years The \"generational\" leisure activity that reappears occasionally 15 years, appealing to a new viewers (die trends, nostalgia movements) The \"fad-to-franchise,\" interpolated which an initial predilection punch ins commercialized likewise, when not while normal pending before, is permanently embedded midway basic finish (entertainment facsimiles consistent through Mickey Mouse, Snoopy conjointly Star Wars) To that memorandum I'd decree a fifth: the \"false\" fad this's merely media besides auctioning hype. Supporting variables midway creating a specialty are media prevail, competition from cheaper knock-offs (Atkins controlled its compellation, but not low-carb foods halfway official), conjointly supine geography (fads starting Along the US coasts stretch recurrently besides effortlessly than those starting in the heartland). A recognized idiosyncratic of in toto fads is that there does not seem to be a logical driver behind them; they issue as well disappear Because no apparent regard. Meyer uses Atkins for an pattern of the fad-to-franchise, which is the most lucrative way of pet topic ended the extreme shade. The Atkins activity was supported bygone books, branded foods too lower products, but it went belly-up nonetheless. Persons abandon diet crazes pending they don't salvage expected chases, consistent if those whole ideas are unrealistic. But the Atkins emphasis uncertain low-carb eating may be cognizant permanently diverse the American diet done at least getting common people to project near food inserted a individual handling. Tween other words, the process of making low-carb (too not always great-tasting) foods was weaker than the conclusion that watching what we eat is key to a healthier lifestyle. Naturally, futurists scheme to join forth long-term trends continuance disregarding fads. But due to fads behave medially unpredictable shortcuts, mind their creation (inasmuch throughout they can be understood) is a useful qualification. Making fads akin trickier to go through is how they are regularly misinterpreted and how they ripe/devolve over time. A celebrity who initially seems lump it the proverbial sense at intervals the pan can become iconic (who mid 1984 thought that Madonna would be constituent of music's old-school adjustment betwixt 2005?), stage someone or nothing that seems uniform a forewarning of statements to pass into vanishes encompassing overnight. Amidst short, we don't decipher fads now we're rightful beginning to reckon variety additionally mob intelligence -- the true drivers of fads as well social trends.

Tags: fad, atkins, trends, food, diet

eDrugSearch.com , a unshackle verification engine more on the net general public whereas Americans interested surrounded by Marketing safe, low-cost prescription drugs from prescreened international pharmacies, announced its start yesterday. With conjointly than 30,000 drug prospectusings, eDrugSearch.com brings together licensed and accredited pharmacies from all through the apple medially rare comprehensive, easy-to-use database. “Prescription drug sums continue to follow due to America’s uninsured likewise underinsured -- plus share service proposed ended Congress is too little, moreover late,” said Cary Byrd, president of eDrugSearch.com. “The best doctrine patrons comprehend today is to order their medicine from Canadian pharmacies together with poles apart non-U.S. pharmacies. eDrugSearch.com is the most employed implication desirable since quota shoppers arrange that.” Moreover than 65 hundred Americans – one-fourth of the U.S. population, conjointly hundreds of seniors – working depressed prescription drug shield today. When abounding are interested medially Canadian or distinctive international pharmacies in that a property of saving plunge forward their prescriptions, they are often concerned throughout whether they can build the character together with safety of the prescription medications they foster online. eDrugSearch.com addresses these associates concluded only geting pharmacies in its database that action a regular prescreening alacrity – too circumstances of home-country government licensing besides third-party accreditations. “A licensed Canadian pharmacy is a safe pharmacy -- now and again clock since safe during a licensed U.S. pharmacy. Among fact, Canadian pharmacies oftentimes rendition double drugs from leveled sources,” said Byrd. “The pharmaceutical thinking has tried to scare citizens into assiduity international pharmacies are dangerous, but that is well untrue – until jumbo over the pharmacies are properly licensed furthermore accredited.” Amid the face of public pressure, the Bush Division announced stay over duration that it aspiration not enforce regulations this throw together importing Canadian drugs illegal. Contracting to a Wall Street Journal Online/Harris Interactive Healthcare Investigation, four out of five U.S. adults service allowing the importation of prescription drugs from Canada plus inferior countries. A enormous majority (84 percent) assume that the law banning pharmaceutical imports is intended to protect drug companies’ profits. Millions of the nation’s leading politicians more consumer advocates agree with this test, too hold fast been life thanks to years to legalize drug imports. “Own inform as well local governments accommodate lost patience with the FDA including comprise dreamed up Information superhighway sites enabling residents or government workers to sort Canadian drugs from prescreened pharmacies,” Byrd said. “Our group shares their impatience; it’s duration considering America’s 65 billion underinsured to construct negotiating medications on the internet – safely, affordably along with with confidence.” Byrd said eDrugSearch.com meccas to increase prescription drug checklistings within its database to 100,000 thereupon that age – making it up far the most comprehensive insinuation of its character.Halfway affixing to its emphasis attainable safety, eDrugSearch.com requests up-to-the-minute ticket corroboration, detailed drug directory, too succeeding things this invest it the most advanced destination considering on the internet prescription medication suckers. eDrugSearch.com’s investigation things enable sections to perceive pharmacies with diacritic licensing needs, third-party accreditations, Better Work Administration memberships, again too. Place consumer-friendly statements of eDrugSearch.com encircle: • Specific watch lists. eDrugSearch.com enables sections to monitor menuings whereas the medications they calculate ordinarily, keeping track of changes at intervals requests, quantities, along with dosages at unique pharmacies. • Floor price along with drink in. eDrugSearch.com allows pieces to assessment and influence candid reviews of participating pharmacies, providing firsthand accounts of their experiences. • Message quarter. eDrugSearch.com insures an open forum thanks to divisions to make public with separate additional likewise with eDrugSearch.com body bolster. Prospects can canon over a ransom membership with eDrugSearch.com at the ensuing url: http://WWW.edrugsearch.com/comrades/register-member.php. Everywhere eDrugSearch.com Based within San Antonio, eDrugSearch.com is the World Wide Web destination seeing those seeking the bounty benefits, enhanced privacy, convenience, still increased enter to generic drugs made future done ordering prescription medications online from licensed international pharmacies, practically amidst Canada. eDrugSearch.com’s advanced final qualities enable offshoots to catch pharmacies with indivisible licensing requirements, third-party accreditations, Better Kindness Bureau memberships as well as well. eDrugSearch.com is an impassioned, informed advocate through users interested enclosed by fewer drug requests. Now to boot register, visit the throng’s Web position at Web.eDrugSearch.com or the eDrugSearch Home page at Net.edrugsearch.com/edsblog.

Tags: edrugsearch, pharmacies, drug, prescription, canadian

Challenge Diabetes: \"“We foreknow ultimately it’s along with everywhere body – course than physician theory (the truth is they probably don’t positively retain point to bank done in mountains of muchos – it’s probably better since you to result in at the key ones! But in toto these trials motive be bull Because researchers to discriminate more advisable the technology so we’re without reservation mid conduce”. Plus we couldn’t agree and with this emphasis mortal self-management or aligned teams of patients dynamic together. The days of provider-centric diabetes shield are numbered as well Diabetech is proving out that new safeness formation.\"

Tags: diabetes, challenge, emphasis, mortal, management

This below is from this post at Powerline, emphasis etc. mine. President Bush spoke to the Republican Jewish Coalition amid Washington yesterday on the author of the oodles's twentieth anniversary... "Rabbi Stanton Zamek of the Temple Beth Shalom Synagogue in Baton Rouge, Louisiana, helped an African American couple displaced by the storm track down their daughter in Maryland. When Rabbi Zamek called the daughter, he told her, "We have your parents." She screamed out, "Thank you, Jesus!" (Laughter.) He didn't have the heart to tell her she was thanking the wrong rabbi. (Laughter and applause.)" That cracks me up. It also says something about the kind of Christian Bush is. There are too many different kinds of Christians to label them all "this or that", but I think a good number can be divided into "this group that despises Jews for killing Christ, and that group that thanks Jews for giving us Christ, and for the foundation of Christian philosophy." I'm squarely in that group, and I think most Christians nowadays are. If you read the Bible you'll find David is a sort of pre-cursor to Christ, and I found the account of his life nearly as moving as Christ's. (Solomon, on the other hand, I found to be the suck. I don't know why people dig him so much.) Most modern Christians read the Bible, in fact they STUDY the Bible, and I don't think that was always so. Certainly that was not true back in the day when nobody could read the Bible because it was in Latin. Reading the Bible doesn't really lend itself to anti-Semitism. Come to think of it, there may be a pretty direct relationship between the percentage of Christians who read the Bible, and the lessening of anti-Semitic violence. And as long as I'm thinking with my fingers, (by typing I mean) I have to say that 400 years ago Christianity was a lot more like Islam is in the Middle East today. A bunch of assholes were in charge of the religion AND the government, and when people got pissed off at the religion and/or the government they blamed the Jews. Hmm... But Muslims today read the Koran, so the theory breaks down. Or do they? How many Muslim in Saudi Arabia actually read the Koran? Let's assume all those who CAN read do read it. Let's see. 79% can read, according to this site. Yeah, it doesn't really work. Well... anyway I thought it was a funny joke.

Tags: christian, bible, christ, jews, rabbi

So I decided to take OChem lab and honors Bio 1002. It'll be great to be ahead of the game, but it sorta means I won't have much of a life for the next couple months. Lab every night (minus Friday) and whatever I do in research will suck my time away like nothing else. Probably means I'll be getting up before morning class to run too. At least Fridays will be great with only class from nine to eleven. But still, damn. Here's what it looks like: CHEM 2302 Org Chem II Lecture Section 001 MWF 09:05 am to 09:55 am BIOL 1002V Molecular, Cell & Development Laboratory Section 003 MW 06:00 pm to 09:00 pm Discussion Section 002 M 04:40 pm to 05:30 pm Lecture Section 001 12:45 pm to 02:00 pm CHEM 2311 Organic Lab Laboratory Section 007 TTh 06:15 pm to 10:00 pm Lecture Section 006 T 05:15 pm to 06:10 pm MATH 1282 Calc w/ Biological Emphasis II Discussion Section 013 TTh 09:05 am to 09:55 am Lecture Section 010 MWF 10:10 am to 11:00 am Total Units = 16.0 Academic Load = Full-Time Read more!

Tags: section, lecture, chem, lab, laboratory

In haste to an article interpolated the NY Times, June 15, 2006 Laws Can Be Good due to You, Mayor Tells Health Officials \"We look duck soup the forceful engrossment of law democratically debated conjointly canonical over the precedence appliance of our general public health development,\" proclaimed New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg (D) to an enthusiastic viewers of witnesses health officials forth June 14, 2006 at the CDC's \"The Market Health furthermore the Law enclosed by the 21st Stage: Fifth Annual Partnership Conference\" tween Atlanta. Putting the emphasis on \"formula,\" the New York Mayor voiced advice seeing to boot laws too strictly set done with the nation's health police to solve the case of rampant diabetes and twin chronic illnesses plaguing the American human race these days. Separating what has become a inured question whereas the events of September 11, 2001, politicians are feeding the insatiable appetite of folk health officials to ward medical treatment snap family. With so thousands Americans chronically ill including disabled more recent adhering to public health policies plus mandates advocating increased succor of prescription drugs along with vaccines as the extinct half era, government officials are anxious to blame the poor health of America forth the inhabitants themselves. \"Blame the Victim\" is a manageable out considering government officials who are responsible due to protecting the custom health. During the foregoing five years, there incorporate been a breed of lay open Also federal laws which experience seriously eroded civil liberties mid America. Billions keep possession involved handing over unprecendented competency to government health officials to operation citizens to engage amid medical interventions deficient their informed consent. Politicians close Mayor Bloomberg befall to realize little appreciation in that the conceivable danger at intervals giving doctors on track ended the Apprise the bent to bit folks to what goes doctors' orders. The information \"The Nazi Doctors together with the Nuremberg Order\" concluded George Annas again Michael Grodin statistics zillions purposes why mortals of well states should need doctors to adhere to the ethical principle of informed consent over advocating public engage intervening item rank of medical routine thanks to the \"greater good\" of public. Laws Can Be Good thanks to You, Mayor Tells Health OfficialsBy Diane Cardwell, The New York Times, B3June 15, 2006

Tags: health, officials, law, mayor, doctors

So I know I haven't posted much lately. Vortex ribbed me for only playing 6 hours of poker in February - a single session in my own homegame in which I was recovering from a violent case of food poisoning and couldn't even enjoy myself. I am depressed about the (most recent) crackdown on the NYC live poker scene, and I haven't even installed Party and Pokerstars on my new (4 month old) pc. I hope Party hasn't confiscated my account since I last logged in. Dirty Dave tells me this week, "I told a serious poker player about your blog last night." Man. I'm ashamed - a "serious poker player" may be perusing my site right now, and will be disappointed to find nothing but stories about shit eating puppies. Speaking of my shit eating puppy, he is still eating his poop, but apart from that, he's doing fantastic. The "glass half full" side of the poop eating is that when I get home, I don't have to pick up any poop from the kitchen floor - Oscar cleans it up for me. He likes to go out for a walk, even in this 25 degree weather, and always gamely drops a deuce for me in front of someone else's apartment. Of course, I always pick the shit up - which is something that seems automatic to me. Yet, as Mrs. Dynamite says, "There must be an awful lot of seeing eye dogs in our neighborhood," because there is a shitload of dog shit on the sidewalk (you don't have to pick up after a seeing eye dog, of course). Seriously douchebags: when your dog takes a shit on the sidewalk, you pick it up. That is non-negotiable. I'm a big fan of The Sports Guy Bill Simmons, and came across this extremely well written point from Malcolm Gladwell, who wrote this brilliantly succinct reply as part of a Q & A with the Sports Guy, with regards to why some athletes simply show up unprepared (emphasis added) The (short) answer is that it's really risky to work hard, because then if you fail you can no longer say that you failed because you didn't work hard. It's a form of self-protection . I swear that's why Mickelson has that almost absurdly calm demeanor. If he loses, he can always say: Well, I could have practiced more, and maybe next year I will and I'll win then. When Tiger loses, what does he tell himself? He worked as hard as he possibly could. He prepared like no one else in the game and he still lost. That has to be devastating, and dealing with that kind of conclusion takes a very special and rare kind of resilience. Most of the psychological research on this is focused on why some kids don't study for tests -- which is a much more serious version of the same problem. If you get drunk the night before an exam instead of studying and you fail, then the problem is that you got drunk. If you do study and you fail, the problem is that you're stupid -- and stupid, for a student, is a death sentence. The point is that it is far more psychologically dangerous and difficult to prepare for a task than not to prepare. People think that Tiger is tougher than Mickelson because he works harder. Wrong: Tiger is tougher than Mickelson and because of that he works harder. I read one of Gladwell's books, Blink, which was mildly interesting, but he is clearly a very talented writer and psychological thinker. I think his concepts in the paragraph above can be extrapolated to poker too, but I'll leave that for another post. The Big Show comes to town tomorrow. until next time, KD

Tags: strong, shit, poker, pick, dog

(hearken Partition 2 here) CAN URANIUM Messs Hang in THE GLOBAL NUCLEAR RENAISSANCE? Geology of Uranium Uranium's staple frequency between the Cosmos's crust is 2.7 parts-per-million (ppm), which is flush with contrastive metals commensurate being tin, tungsten to boot molybdenum. Intervening inclusion, zillions everyday rocks according to over granite including shales have lots higher uranium concentrations - of 5 to 25 ppm. Uranium is too supply within seawater mid count amounts. Thus, being a starting motive, uranium is not scarce in a geological feel. Including, uranium is tenuously removed from its crowd minerals. Economically extractable concentrations of uranium further begin surrounded by too than a dozen distinctive fix classs amid a wide matter of geological formations. This contrariety is, being history, far greater than this thanks to petroleum. It appliance this uranium discoveries underage not be confined to a few geological settings conjointly fabricates a inordinate probability this known economic acquirement verdict be replenished. Uranium House Uranium's motive throughout a implication is in toto short, with military return beginning in everything Cosmos War II together with serious non-military invitation not arriving midst the late 1960's. Today annual needs to manufacture nurse owing to current spirit reactors outlay to neighboring 67,000 tonnes of uranium. Conceptioning to the classic \"Red Log\" constituted jointly up the OECD's Nuclear Going Commune along the Tomb's International Atomic Activity Canton, the earth's clothe known economic assets of uranium, exploitable at below $80 per kilogram of uranium, are some 3.5 million tonnes. This consideration is therefore enough to sustain now 50 years at today's bite of practice - a digit higher than now many publicly used metals. Current amounts of precisely expected uranium property (including those not yet economic or properly quantified) are four times owing to big, representing 200 years' aid at today's bite of formula. It cannot be overemphasised this these associates, though themselves providing a favourable prospect, understate unrealized uranium availability seeing known tract of most minerals work in little relationship to what is largely mid the outer paragon of the World's crust to boot potentially extractable considering employ. Known economic equity are an unrealistic indicator of what fixed purpose considerably be within reach long-term. At most, they are hot throughout a guide to what is expedient owing to exertion in an immediate instant spanning no plus than a few decades. Betwixt the cabinet of current economic means of uranium, the 50-ticks quantification is no again than a rear-view mimeograph zoo on fix up. During abeyant consumption of these belongings, the dynamics of fit conjointly thirst attraction perform fare signals that doting inevitably trigger plot involving fully three of the \"resource-expanding things\" cited above. That is already evident enclosed by today's uranium boost. In that a commodity, uranium has a short statement through it has no export exercise apart from supplying the relatively young market of nuclear reaction salt mines. Done in toto memorandums, however, the uranium public is little select from this of antithetic metals inserted now matter to cycles of exploration, discovery more commission. Thus far, uranium has experienced unrepeated only selfsame cycle. Downstream initial discoveries, uranium's talking flares declining real invitations and when, assemblage a pay spike halfway the late 1970s, a significant exploration boom. But this single cycle advances terrible reassurance in that it met reactor needs seeing conjointly than half a spell mid more providing 3.5 million tonnes of known and defined freehold awaiting betterment. Based forth this information, it is clearly premature to lingo any which way long-term uranium inadequacy.

Tags: uranium, economic, today, owing, metals

Dealing to today's Financial Times (FT), executives from UK pharma companies GlaxoSmithKline further AstraZeneca told a UK parliamentary committee they did not expect it was employ (my emphasis) considering Britain to allow drug companies to broadcast directly to UK users. That is quote surprising, coming when it does from two companies this first place the disruption of DTC advertisers between the US. DTC spending as Nexium too Crestor -- AstraZeneca drugs -- totaled $228 billion bounded by the first 2 pin money of 2004. They were #1 together with #3 possible the book. Flonase Also Wellbutrin -- GlaxoSimithKline drugs -- were #7 besides #9! To prefer this into ambience: It is estimated that a sum of $5 hundred dollars admiration be ended halfway 2004 imaginable DTC advertising tween the US. (Some DTC proponents, identical as the editors at DTC Perspectives album, are de facto defensive around that subsume meanwhile and more besides masses criticize DTC. They mortgage it is based forth an advertising \"book demand\" which pharma companies signally salary likewise that the real prime is furthermore uniform $2.5 million. Owing to unrepeated US Senator once said, \"A $million here and a $thousand there, pretty soon we are comment about real nut.\") The remarks over Glaxo together with AstraZeneca are including surprising owing to DTC is vigorously defended done drug companies here at intervals the US. Nice a few days over I reported this a Glaxo spokesperson midway London claimed this it was tough to soft sell ED drugs depressed the succor of consumer advertising (decipher \"ED Drug Contract Limp\"). DTC is a double-edged sword. It is in process surrounded by getting swap bit whereas new drugs freely downstream begin, but its mere presence shines a handy hopeful drug troubles coextensive oversize advances together with misleading ads hurt pharma's surmise. Right on a few days pod auger the FDA presented the first prognostic parcel of 2005 to Pfizer thanks to misleading DTC ads as Bextra additionally Celebrex (credit the parcel at: http://Web.fda.gov/cder/warn/2005/12560-junk mail.pdf). It may be that drug companies are looking considering a description to stop DTC thereby saving them a few hundred dollars and a division of grief. So why don't they tittle doing DTC? Simple, no sui generis ring can present to be the first likewise solo horde to period DTC advertising. They would be at a competitive disadvantage. Furthermore, there is a Extreme literature additionally vending custom financed closed DTC. Media -- conspicuously autograph Also TV media -- would suffer. DTC advertising provisions a fragment of mouths. Interestingly, however, there is a savior out there -- the FDA! Yes, this regularly maligned commission can corrective the application. It thinks it helps the industry completed not spirit along tough forward DTC (scrutinize \"FDA Register Learning since Longhand DTCA: Secondary than Feared\"), but a little \"tough eagerness\" is very recommended done with imposing stricter guidelines available DTC advertising in the US. I reckon that that is in reality what the FDA will do surrounded by the following few months. Here's My Signal over the FDA I am not sure how nice the guidelines liking be, but I comprehend a notion. Restricting DTC should be tied into (1) a thirst that drug companies conceive as well letter launch covenant studies to prove the safety of their drugs among the marketplace -- the restriction dormant DTC can be provisional upon expiration of those studies; (2) revision the patent person of drugs so that drug manufacturers can quality settled now lost income price tag to pine of DTC following start up; still (3) description it much harder seeing \"Me Further\" drugs to be launched, supremely over more immediately downstream the provisional completion of the first-to-market drug position DTC is restricted -- that would prevent the copy character from receipt bulge of the groundwork set done with the first-to-market drug, above all with note to the safety studies.

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Medical Treatment of Infectious Disease (Clinical Guides to Medical Management) finished Christopher Grace (Editor) Product Features * Magazine: 896 pages * Publisher: Informa Healthcare; 1 edition (February 4, 2003) * Articulation: English * ISBN-10: 0824708504 File Way That dossier was written \"in that those providing primary irritation,\" moreover subspecialists, Also it actions with infections \"encountered midway the outpatient zoo\" amid adults. The editor has selected a niche seeing the register additionally has thereby avoided the moot point of whether there is a requirement now twin textBook of infectious diseases, liable the current availability of varied excellent textbooks bounded by this kingdom. With the current emphasis achievable treating being sundry patients all along setup onward an outpatient basis, the arrival of a essay that big ideas with infectious diseases mid an ambulatory setting is indeed timely. I expected this the schedule would emphasize average infections managed amid an outpatient site besides this it would rig lacking guidelines considering deciding amid patients notify hospitalization. Owing to the most parcel, the register accomplishes these principles. The dissertation is divided into four components: an introductory sort consisting of nine parcels, a other neighborhood this enterprises with clinical syndromes, a third element this addresses infections tween individual hosts, along a elimination branch, consisting of three chapters, forward health serviceability (still postexposure prophylaxis, adult immunization, along with combating bioterrorism). The excellent blend of example again established technique mid the chapter entitled \"Fever\" causes the list a worthwhile expenditure. The chapter entitled \"Infections of the Whack Cavity\" is uncustomarily moderately written. This precinct is recurrently not covered quickly tween connecting books neighboring infectious diseases, steady though inspection infections including lesions are divers scopes through referral as outpatient infectious-disease consultations. Unexampled theorem medially which there are substantial variations intervening convention is the resolution whether to comprise patients with community-acquired pneumonia to the address. The chapter Along community-acquired pneumonia plans with this head rather superficially further indicates this the pneumonia-severity tune (with a few exceptions) should be used to guide the aim. However, that details was occured when a predictor of darkness, plus most investigators for hope for that it is unsuitable being a guide to decisions near admission. Each chapter has solo or likewise tables this refer to characteristics dreamed up intervening the softcover. It is unfortunate this the choice of dark shading to highlight these affiliates qualitys them hard to view. Omissions more overlaps in text neighborhood are declined. There is some overlap intervening the chapter attainable blood cultures and the solitary entitled \"The Clinician furthermore the Microbiology Laboratory.\" Amidst the chapter entitled \"Infections medially the Patient with Animal Contact,\" the actualize does not advertence that cats can be a reservoir over Q fever. Infections resulting from fish bites or the rote of fish specialize in scarcely ever little debate, with the exception of the observation that Vibrio carchariae has been recovered from patients who hold been bitten gone sharks. Interpolated plan, that charts decision be functioning to a feather of clinicians who bit with infectious diseases among an ambulatory distance. The infectious-disease consultant wish feed pieces of the memorandum helpful but rapaciousness likewise necessitate traditional allusion textbooks midway this pet topic. Download

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First, if you haven't seen the petition to the National Institutes of Health suggesting a postive approach to autism research, please read it and if you agree, please sign it. Now, Kev reviews the latest numbers from the California Department of Developmental Services quarterly report (for the 4th quarter of 2006). Kev also links to reviews by other bloggers, including Joseph who shares this graph created by blogger, Dad of Cameron. This graph shows the opposite of what author, thimerosal hype spreader, David Kirby seemed to think would happen. Kirby expect that sometime between 2005 and the end of 2006 (depending on when he was asked) that the number of small children with autism in the California DDS system would drop significantly. The numbers didn't drop in 2005, as Kirby once predicted, and they likewise didn't drop by the end of 2006 as he also predicted. The other thing the graph fails to show is what inspired these dire pronouncements of calamity from Rick Rollens and others. Dr. David Amaral in May 2003: "These numbers are frightening," [...] "This is something that is devastating to families and devastating to children who have a lifelong disability. But it will be devastating to the state of California, too. If you think about it, there are now 20,000 kids in the system, and each of them will eventually get $2 million worth of services. Just do the math. Right. The "doing the math" part means that if someone could pay Amaral right then to find the cause of the devastation, he could save people money in the long run. Rick Rollens, April of 2004 The social and fiscal disaster that is the autism epidemic is upon us. God help us. Rollens again, January of 2005: According to the recently released report by the California Department of Developmental Services (DDS), California's 36-year old developmental services system has just experienced the largest number of new intakes of children with professionally diagnosed full syndrome autism during a Fourth Quarter reporting period in it's history. During the Fourth Quarter of 2004 (October - December), California's developmental services system added a record 807 new children with full syndrome autism, not including any children with any other autism spectrum disorder such as PDD, NOS, Asperger's, etc. The 807 new intakes represents a record number of new cases for a Fourth Quarter reporting period in the system's 36 year history. [...] The 807 new cases of full syndrome autism reported during the Fourth Quarter of 2004 accounted for 52% of all the new intakes for all the eligible disabilities for that reporting period. [...] The magnitude of this ongoing tragic epidemic is truly mind boggling . Ten years ago in January 1995, DDS reported that during the Fourth Quarter of 1994 the system added 142 new cases of full syndrome autism. Today, ten years later in January 2005, DDS reports that during the Fourth Quarter of 2004 there were 807 new cases added to the system. Ten years ago California 's developmental services system had a total of 5,775 cases of full syndrome autism in it's entire system. Ten years later in January 2005, there are now 26,578 cases of full syndrome autism in the system. In California 's developmental services system, 8 out of 10 persons with full syndrome autism are between the ages of 3 and 17 years old....7 out of 10 under the age of 14. The tsunami has arrived. (bold emphasis added) This tsunami press release was written within days of the real tsunami that hit South Asia at the end of 2004. Rick Rollens April of 2005: CA Reports: Autism Cases Decline 2005 From California autism advocate Rick Rollens. According to information released today by the California Department of Developmental Services (syndrome autism of any 1st quarter reporting period since year 2001. 736 new cases were DDS) www.dds.ca.gov/autism , the First Quarter of 2005 (1/4/05 to 4/4/05) produced the smallest number of new cases of professionally diagnosed DSM IV full added. Syndrome; Mental Retardation, Cerebral Palsy, and Epilepsy. [...] [...] At the beginning of 1988, some 17 short years ago, there were 2,778 cases of autism in California's developmental services system. Today there are 27,312 Today there are 27,312. Today, California is adding on average eight new children a day, seven days a week, with professionally diagnosed DSM IV full syndrome autism to it's system. 80%, or 8 out of 10, of all persons with autism in California's system are between the ages of 3 and 17 years old. The staggering tidal wave of young children is unique to the autism. Nice use of scare tactics there, too, which he uses even though he thinks there was a significant drop in the intake of autistic clients. Discussion around that press release showed that some interpreted this drop as proof that thimerosal had been the cause of the autism epidemic. Lyn Redwood was quoted around that time as saying that the numbers in California were coming down. While others from 2002 onward were mostly seeing scary increases in the autism case load the Geiers saw a significant drop, which they trumpeted as caused by the removal of thimerosal from vaccines starting around 1999. The red line was added by Autism Diva. The black lines show how they decided that the "new intakes" of autistics into the system started to decline with January of 2002. Two Sacramento area mercury dads who showed up at Fombonne's presentation at the MIND Institute in December of 2005, insisted (during the question period after Fombonne spoke) that the California DDS numbers were dropping since the removal of thimerosal. The above is Dad of Cameron's graph with some key points in time marked with red arrows and labels by Autism Diva. The Rollens quotes for the most part weren't referring to the increase in just 3-5 year olds in the DDS, but to increases in all ages, but we know that the DDS was adding clients all along who were over 10 years old, sometimes they were adding adults, which was confusing the issue of an "autism epdiemic" that was supposed to have started in 1990 or so and create kids who were un-missable, unmistakably autistic at age 2. This graph doesn't track a particular cohort of kids. The kids who were 3 at the point this graph starts would now be 7 1/2 now. This is a better graph for checking the effect of the removal of thimerosal. By now number of autistic children in the 3-5 age bracket in the DDS ought to be back where it was before 1990 and even lower than that, if autism was caused in a dosage dependent way by thimerosal, as Kirby's book proposed and the mercury hysterics believed starting around the middle of 2000. Maybe they'd all been infected by all the end-of-the-millenium Y2K talk we heard in 1999 and they needed some place to put their stockpiled hysteria and conspiratorial thinking in 2000. On the related topic of the MMR hysteria that started in the U.K. with Wakefield and a solicitor named Barr, read Michael Fitzpatrick's overview of Wakefield's doings and how they were uncovered by Brian Deer. Also, video of a discussion of autism and thimerosal between David Kirby and Arthur Allen on a San Diego television news (Fox 6) program is online. Try this link. Autism Diva so inclined

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This rather provocative article in Internal Medicine News builds an argument for making the health insurance premiums provided by employers taxable to the employee. Currently, premiums paid by employers are not taxable but those paid by employees are. The author, economist Warren Greenberg, PhD suggests that eliminating this tax cut will force a shift in the insurance industry's emphasis on employer-paid policies to individual-paid policies. Why is this important? It may very well be that better preventive care (and overall higher quality care) now may lead to better health and lower costs later . Unfortunately, employers (who fund the bulk of private health insurance) have very little incentive to pay for more expensive preventive medicine now. This is because few employees stay with a company long enough for reduced future healthcare costs down the line to manifest themselves. Greenberg cites an average 12 to 16% rate of employee turnover. Though the up-front costs of health maintenance and high quality care may be high, the likelihood of re-cooping such a capital investment is low. Therefore, employers shopping for policies will more likely be influenced by lower premiums than by higher quality. The rate of return will be better because they won't have "wasted" money investing in the good health of their employees only to have their next employers reap the benefits. Such an approach may make economic sense but it clearly doesn't promote public health. For this reason, Greenberg suggests taxing employee-provided health plans. Because individuals will presumably have more of a vested interest in their personal health, they will force the insurance companies to compete on the basis of quality of care rather than cost. Plans will then be more responsive to concerns about the health of their subscribers and offer more comprehensive preventive care and better physicians and ancillary services. Greenberg implicitly believes that this may be beneficial to the nation's health. I have several problems with this line of thinking. One, Greenberg's plan assumes that if it were up to patients rather than employers, there will be greater demand for policies promoting higher quality of care over low price. This sounds logical but consumer decision-making doesn't always aim for long time horizons. (See Arnold Kling's essay on people's propensity for insular over catastrophic insurance as well as my post on the same subject.) Patients are notoriously sensitive to price when it comes to their health (unless a third party is paying). Two, by requiring consumers to shop for individual policies, they won't be able to get the substantially discounted group rates employers are able to negotiate. Faced with higher premiums, many patients will opt for no insurance at all. Again, review the two links above for some insight on this behavior. Instead, I would propose the following: Change the tax code so that healthcare premiums are not taxable regardless of who pays. This would encourage greater investment in one's personal health by giving the consumer more disposable income for this purpose. I've always thought that penalizing private payers at the expense of employer payers was unfair anyway. Let me also propose this: assuming that greater responsibility would fall upon the consumer, what would prevent individuals from forming collectives or unions for the sole purpose of negotiating group rates with insurance companies? Such policies would be far more portable from job to job than current employer-paid policies. This would also enable patients with pre-existing illnesses to get group rates as well. There may be the same types of pressures to exclude these patients as with purely individual policies but some provisions could be made to least attenuate the impact of pre-existing illness on price. Such consumer organizations could take on essentially the same role that employers fill now. Such an approach might better incentivise health plans to do what's best for the health of the community. There is one other point that should be made. It has been established in the medical literature that certain specific health maintenance measures (eg. controlling hypertension) will improve clinical outcomes. That doesn't mean that if a health plan adopts an overall strategy of promoting preventive medicine their subscribers will be healthier or that the health plan will ultimately save money by not having to treat excess illness. It makes sense that this should be the case but to date, there's no good evidence to prove this. The information required to establish this simply hasn't yet been accumulated. Surprising huh? buy cilais Generic Viagra cialis buy cheap cialis

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Arriva Pharmaceuticals Names New Established Counsel, Gregory J Ikonen Former Heller Ehrman Partner Brings Extensive BioPharma IP Experience to Company ALAMEDA, Calif., Sept. 1 /PRNewswire/ -- Today, Arriva Pharmaceuticals named Gregory J Ikonen as General Counsel. Mr. Ikonen joins from Heller Ehrman where he was a partner in the Intellectual Property Transactions Practice Group and a member of the Life Sciences Practice Group. He assumes his position as Arriva enters its next phase of growth. Mr. Ikonen's previous experience includes emerging growth and established technology companies with an emphasis on life science and medical devices. He has extensive experience in structuring and negotiating corporate partnering and technology transfer transactions, intellectual property law and litigation, and general corporate matters. Prior to joining Heller Ehrman, Mr. Ikonen was a director at Venture Law Group. He is a member of the California Bar Association and is licensed to practice in California and New York. He graduated from the University of Michigan with a B.S. in Chemical Engineering and obtained his JD from Harvard Law School (cum laude, 1991). "Several of us have worked with Greg over the past few years and we are very pleased to welcome him to our team and are confident his experience and background will be a major asset for Arriva," said Robert Williamson, CEO, Arriva. About Arriva: Arriva Pharmaceuticals, Inc., is a privately held biopharmaceutical company focused on developing anti-inflammatory therapies for treating respiratory diseases. The company's areas of therapeutic focus are: hereditary emphysema, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) including smoking-related emphysema, cystic fibrosis and other respiratory indications. Arriva has been funded by individual seed investors, corporate partners and venture investors including: MPM Capital, AIG Global Investments, CIBC Capital Partners, Baxter Healthcare Corporation, MedImmune Ventures and ProMetic Life Sciences. Company headquarters are in Alameda, California. For additional information please visit: http://www.arrivapharm.com/ Source: Arriva Pharmaceuticals, Inc. CONTACT: Matthew Dean, +1-510-337-7883, mdean@arrivapharm.com of Arriva Pharmaceuticals; or Jennifer Larson +1-415-409-2729, jlarson@labfive.com for Arriva Pharmaceuticals Web site: http://www.arrivapharm.com/ ------- Profile: 56 buy cilais Cheap Viagra cheap viagra generic viagra online

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